WeeklyProjections.com » Rotohog
The latest six pack is up here. Rumor is that a link to this is going out to all RH users in the morning so we’ll see if that affects the results at all.
If I can find the time outside of the office to work on it I’m hoping to overhaul this site in the next few weeks. I’m working on developing some major improvements to my weekly projection system and I’d like to move the site in the direction of focusing more on those numbers rather than specific RotoHog strategy (which I’m already covering over at rotohog.com).
The first edition of the Six Pack is up. This one was fairly straight-forward except that I had 7 guys and only 6 spots. I bet you can guess who the guy was that I had to leave out…
One week down, sixteen to go. I had a pretty lackluster performance to start the year. I sold McNabb late in the week when I decided I could afford Manning. Even worse if I had kept McNabb I was going to be able to afford to replace Rice with Westbrook. Ah well. I’m at 107 points and done.
If you haven’t already, join the Friends of JibJab league. ID is 102747, pw is jibjab. It’s a good way to keep track of how the WP.com readers are doing. Also, there’s now a couple of celebrities in there.
I’m working out who to put in my first Monday Night Six Pack, so feel free to post any suggestions for good buys tomorrow morning. Flacco and Collins are the only 2 that are set so far.
Hey guys, sorry I haven’t had any pre-season posts for you. Just like baseball, I feel like I’m spending too much time making the game to have any time to post about it.
The final batch of IPOs is up on the trading floor now, so there are no changes left to worry about as you search for bargains. In regards to the trading floor discussion, I can’t really say much, but it’s correct that a player’s price only changes when he is bought or sold. Supply and demand will factor into the price change obviously. All that to say, a highly-owned player is probably going to make you money, but it won’t happen instantly at the opening of the trading floor.
Last year a lot of players’ prices tanked at the opening of the market. This was because teams were created using a traditional draft and many users drafted too many expensive players and couldn’t fill out their roster, so they sold those expensive players as soon as they could. With unrestricted preseason trading, this shouldn’t really be an issue and baseball generally showed that to be true.
Overall, the pre-season trading floor definitely makes the first day of trading a little less volatile. Still, the money-making strategies are the same: identify under-priced players, follow the price change momentum, and be the first to anticipate match-ups. To put that into practical terms, right now I recommend filling out your roster with only the very best bargains (maybe 3-5 players). Tomorrow morning, pick up the guys who seem to have some momentum, and sell if they start to lose that momentum. Finally, start looking at Week 1 match-ups, and try to anticipate when the broad masses will start to transition into building their Week 1 lineups (my guess is it will be next Wednesday or Thursday in anticipation of the opening game on Thursday).
Alright, good luck tomorrow. Keep the discussion going for trading floor bargains (it sounds like Kyle Boller may be out for the season), and be on the lookout for my Week 1 projections coming to RotoHog.com.
RotoHog.com has gone live with NFL ‘08. Time to sign up and start strategizing.
For those who followed this site last year you know I have taken a position with RotoHog during the football off-season. Anyway, prices for the initial batch of 140 players are up, so get started bargain-hunting. I, along with a couple other RotoHog staff, did all of the pricing so hopefully there aren’t too many great deals to be found. 
This site will be operating during the year, however much of the content you would have seen here in the past will be hosted on RotoHog. Rest assured, all the features you saw last year will be back again this year whether it’s here or over there.
I’ve already set up a “Friends of JibJab” league that will hopefully turn out better for me than baseball has.
League ID: 102747
League password: jibjab
I’m sure people will trickle in slowly with the season still well over a month away, so check in on the comments if you’re here. I’ll write something up in the next few days about the rules this year vs last year (most things are the same) and how that may affect your approach.
I stayed up last night to see the new standings. 6th was a disappointment, but it’s definitely hard to complain about. I think I was 5 points away from 5k or something like that. I also feel for the few of you that finished just a hair outside the top 100. Despite all that, I’m thrilled with how well everyone did. I know that if it weren’t for all of you guys I couldn’t possibly have done as well, and it’s great to see how much success we had as a group.
Anyway, thanks for a great season guys. I look forward to seeing you all on the fishing board. Also, as I mentioned before I may be trying to work in some off season research and discussion on this board, so that we can keep that leg up on the rest.
If you haven’t already posted your final standing, go ahead and let us all know. I’m going to start compiling that stuff and will give the final numbers (as best as I can estimate them) tonight or tomorrow.
One last time, find us here, password: jibjab.
Ok, gotta get back to second guessing everything now.
It’s hard to believe we’re here already. This is the last set of projections for the season (unless RH springs fantasy NFL playoffs on us at the last minute). There are about a billion things I want to cover before we wrap up.
First, many of you probably know, but this site started as a sister project to DailyProjections.com. DailyProjections was a sort of frazzled effort in it’s first season as I bit off way more than I could chew, but I hope to step up the quality for the coming year. I hope to see the whole crew there for baseball season.
Second, if you already have, or possibly will, win a prize I’d love it if you could shoot me an email at jmhume@gmail.com. Just let me know your username and current MFL rank, or what weekly prize you won, or both. Also, let me know when you started reading the site regularly. Like I said in an earlier post I want to start tabulating some stats for our community here.
Third, fantasyfishing.com. If you haven’t heard, they’re giving away $1.7 million in prizes. Yeah, seriously. Alex has set up a league for us over there, league id: 10011, password: jibjab. I don’t know how much I’ll get into this, but it’s pretty interesting and it’s definitely worth a go.
Are you ready for some numbers yet?
Downloadable Weekly Fantasy Football Projections – Week 17
Pierre Thomas is on the list despite not being in the game. I doubt Rotohog will IPO him this week, but they might. I finally have Derek Anderson in my top 5. Considering how much less I seem to like him than everyone else, I expect the rest of you have him at #1 this week. Anyway, here are some pretty pictures.
There’s an old joke about how you should never follow the advice of someone who begins with the words, “You boys ain’t gonna believe this crap.” Actually, now that I think about it, it may be more traditional folk wisdom than a joke. I don’t really know. Either way, I’m far too lazy to look it up right now.
All I can say is that predicting week 17 is going to be like predicting preseason’s ever-popular week three. All the teams on the field, technically, would prefer to win. But are they going to let their stars actually win it for them? Hmmmm …
I have this terrible feeling that next week we will ALL be living out that NFL.com commercial, where fantasy football fans are looking crushed as the song “Had a Bad Day” plays. I’m calling 130 as a top-10 score for the week.
So how are you going to break 100 points next week? You boys ain’t gonna believe this crap …
QB1: Tom Brady vs the New York Football Giants. Thank God for Coach Hoodie. He is the biggest a-hole in the NFL, so he will let Brady and Moss do their thing for at least three quarters. And fortunately the Giants may be good enough to give them a decent game for a few minutes.
QB2: Ben Roethlisberger at Baltimore. I don’t LOVE this matchup. But I know people from Pittsburgh, and they are ALL tougher than your average NFL player. If their team doesn’t play hard, the players know they’re in for a butt-kicking as they get off the plane in Pittsburgh. And nobody wants that.
RB1: Adrian Peterson at Denver. He could go for 300 yards. Or he could go for 3. Hard to tell. I’ll take the over.
RB2: Any San Diego running back at Oakland. Why oh why does Norv Turner have to be the head coach of the Chargers??? The Raiders are so bad at stopping the run that this could have been the single greatest game in LT’s career. Sadly, he’ll probably only play a half. And that’s all you’ll need from him. Or … Norv could sit him for the entire game … WAIT!!! Who said Coach Hoodie was the biggest a-hole in the NFL!!! I think we’ve found an even bigger one … Just figure out what Norv is planning and start the RB who will be getting the most snaps.
WR1: Randy Moss vs whoever. He’s Randy Moss. What do you expect?
WR2: Santonio Holmes at Baltimore. What??? Holmes? What am I thinking? Giving a coveted starting spot to a #2 WR on a team that may not even do much? I’m out of control! You can’t stop me! If you try, I’ll just take you down with me!
WR3: Torry Holt at Arizona. Can’t you see this is the final act of a desperate man? I don’t care if it’s the first act of Henry V. I’m starting him.
TE: Do you REALLY want me to recommend someone here? This week my TE got 5 points and, ohmygod, I jumped up and down like a little girl running into her best friend at the mall. You’re better off without me on this one.
K: Stephen Gostkowski vs the New York Football Giants. Hey kid, you’re a good kicker, but you’ll never make it in show biz with a name like that. How will they fit it on the marquee? From now on, you’re Steve Smith … what??? I DON’T CARE IF THERE ARE ALREADY TWO OF THEM IN THE NFL!!!! I’VE BEEN DOING THIS SINCE YOU WERE AN ITCH IN YOUR DADDY’S PANTS!!! YOU’RE STEVE SMITH. THE ONE WHO ISN’T A RECEIVER!!!! Now be a mensch and get the hell out of here … I’m late for a meeting at Spago with Suzanne Pleshette.
DEF: Steelers at Baltimore. Did I mention that Steelers fans are tough?
So that’s it for now. Merry Christmas. Happy Chanukah. Good Kwanzah. And a successful Festivus to you all!
The Rotohog Marathon is in mile 26 after today. I had an alright day. I stuck with Manning over Hasselbeck which paid off, but went with Colston over Wayne. Meh. All told I sit at 112 with Tomlinson left to go. Let us know where you guys stand.
The season is almost over, but I’ve still got plenty of stuff before we close up shop. Lothar will be along with his early early projections soon I’m sure. The projections will be up as always (with the same black outs as the last 2 weeks). Also, I want to encourage you guys to stop in after the season ends for a couple of things.
First, I’m hoping I can get everyone to email me their final place and prize. Basically, anyone who read this site on a regular basis would be included, so if you’re still here at this point in the year you probably qualify. I’m interested in seeing the stats, and the total prize money won by the WP.com community.
Second, I’m not sure what this would look like yet, but I’d love to see us put our heads together on some off-season research. I could list a hundred research projects I’d like to do for baseball, but football is a little less formulaic. Still, I’m sure that we could come up with some interesting ideas to study. Smart trading and good football knowledge got many of us ahead of the pack this year, but they’ll be catching up quickly so it’s important to keep stretching our advantage.
Anyway, that’s all for now. Like I said, check in with your totals, and get set for one last full week of analysis.